Saturday, September 3, 2011

Chargers Hype... Really, Still?

Every year the Chargers are chosen by ESPN to run away with the division, make it to the Super Bowl, and have a surprise appearance by Jesus.  They claim that every year they are going to “put it all together” and that they are “more motivated than ever” yet somehow every year, they underachieve.  Quite frankly, it’s getting old.  Now that we have a good football team in Kansas City I find it even more insane that ESPN thinks that it is a give me, especially since the Chiefs have added some key pieces this offseason.  Yes, the Chargers have won the division more often than not in recent years, but that is mainly I part of the lack of competition they had within the division.  It makes zero sense to me why they continue to preach the gospel of San Diego year after year.  Here is the full “five things you should know about the Chargers” article from ESPN if you are interested.  We will look at each “thing” and then answer the question of whether it is a valid point (or not) and why.

1. Rivers is refreshed: This season ought to be easy for Philip Rivers. Last year, top receivers Vincent Jackson and Malcom Floyd and tight and Antonio Gates were on the field together for about a quarter of a game. Jackson held out much of the season. Floyd and Gates were hurt late in the season. By the end of the year, Rivers was throwing passes to street free agents. He threw to 17 different receivers. Yet Rivers managed to throw for a career-high 4,710 yards. Imagine what Rivers will do with a healthy receiving base.

Valid? - I don’t know if refreshed is the word… Rivers is an elite quarterback, and having Vincent Jackson back is huge, but to say it is going to be easy for him this year is little over done.  The offensive line is a little shaky with starting left tackle Marcus Mcneil missing parts of the preseason with knee surgery.  Not to mention, Antonio Gates is another year older, but aside from being more susceptible to injury, I don’t see it effecting him too much.

2. The pass rush is on: KC Joyner, the Football Scientist, expects the Chargers to bring the heat this year. The Chargers had a very respectable 47 sacks last season. They have a chance for a lot more this season. Joyner said the Chargers' 2011 opponents allowed a combined 592 sacks last season. That total ranks as the seventh most in the league. Expect the Chargers to blitz often under aggressive new defensive coordinator Greg Manusky.

Valid? Not even close.  Yes the Chargers like to rush the quarterback and weren’t bad at it last year, however, this isn’t the same defense.  They have lost starting linebacker Kevin Burnett, back up middle linebacker Brandon Siler, and outside linebacker Shawne Merriman.  That is a lot of lost sacks and run stops.  If you add in starting middle linebacker Stephen Cooper's torn bicep that he is going to try and play through (we know how that will go) before deciding whether he should get surgery or wait, you are in trouble.  Last year was San Diego’s defense at its finest, and with a new defensive coordinator and new personnel, it is hard to be too eager this soon about the Chargers D.

3. Tolbert will be a horse: Just because the Chargers plan to use second-year running back Ryan Mathews a lot, don't think sturdy tailback Mike Tolbert will be forgotten. The Chargers love this guy, and Mathews and Tolbert will both get a lot of carries. In fact, if Mathews' durability issues continue or if he is slow to develop, I could see Tolbert getting most of the carries. Coach Norv Turner completely trusts Tolbert and loves how hard he runs. Tolbert is a plus player in every facet of the Chargers' offense.

Valid? I agree with ESPN on this one, Mike Tolbert is a horse.  He is very underrated and probably deserves to be the number one back on the team after last seasons performance.

4. Liuget is legit: It's not often that the No. 1-ranked defense in the NFL adds a potentially dominant front-three player. That's exactly what the Chargers have done. They took Illinois defensive end Corey Liuget with the No. 18 pick. Liuget has been explosive, and he has been a playmaker in camp. He often gets into the offensive backfield. He is a humble player who is willing to learn. The Chargers can't wait to unleash him in their starting lineup, giving them a playmaker to pair next to standout nose tackle Antonio Garay.

Valid? I haven’t seen much of the guy, so I would be out of my element to say much about him.  However, I do know that they aren’t starting Liuget, but instead the solid but never flashy Jacque Cesaire at end, which should say at least a little bit.  While I don't doubt he will be good in time, I would be shocked to see a backup defensive lineman go all Ndamukong Sue in his first year.

5. Spikes and Sanders are on a mission: The Chargers added veteran safety Bob Sanders and veteran linebacker Takeo Spikes to their defense. For Sanders, it's a chance to show he can still be the player who won the NFL Defensive Player of the Year award in 2007. He has played a total of nine games in the past three seasons because of injury. He has been healthy this summer, and he looks like the old Sanders. This is Spikes' 14th NFL season. He has never been to the postseason. Spikes knows this year is his best chance, and his play this summer has been inspired.

Valid? They may be on a mission, but that doesn’t mean they are good at it.  Here is a fun fact: Bob Sanders has played a total of nine games in the past three seasons.  He has only played more than six games in a season twice in his seven year career.  It is a relatively safe bet to say that even if Bob Sanders stays healthy all year (which is very unlikely) he will be very rusty and a far less aggressive player.  As for Takeo Spikes, he has no problem staying healthy, but he will turn 35 this year and isn’t even close to the same player he used to be.  Don’t believe me? 2010 was the first time in his 13 year NFL career that Spikes didn’t record a single sack in all 15 games he played.  So while I won’t argue that he is inspired, if you even try to talk me into believing that Spikes is an upgrade or spark at linebacker, I would call you delusional.

Friday, August 5, 2011

Predicting the Chiefs Depth Chart: Defense Edition

It's never too early to start trying to piece together the rotations or speculating on what the starters could look like.  As of today, this is how the defense should look to start the season.  One thing you may notice is how much more depth the Chiefs have compared to most seasons.  Aside from Hali, you don't feel like you are in too big of trouble if you lose any one guy.  The only realistic position battle that could alter the depth chart for week one is Jovan Belcher vs Brandon Siler for the strong side inside linebacker position.  The guys in red are in good shape with either one, but you have two very physical players battling for a starting spot, which should be fun.


                                       FS  K.Lewis                                          
                                                                                                 SS E.Berry

                                          WILB D.Johnson         SILB J. Belcher  
      CB B.Carr                                                                                                  CB B. Flowers
                     OLB A.Studebaker                                                         OLB T.Hali
             DE T.Jackson  NT K. Gregg  DE G. Dorsey               

Rotation:

Nickel/Corner – J. Arenas
                            T. Daniels

Safety – J. Mcgraw 
               S. Piscitelli

Inside Linebacker – B. Siler

Outside Linebacker – J. Houston
                                      D. Williams

Defensive End – A. Bailey
                             W. Gillberry

Nose Tackle – J. Powe 
                         D.Gales

Tuesday, August 2, 2011

Evaluating the Chiefs Free Agent Acquisitions

Steve Breaston, WR

The Chiefs got Breaston at a clearance price, primarily due to deflated numbers that come with playing with an incompetent quarterback who takes this shit serious (click here if you didn’t get the “serious” reference).  Breaston is a speedster with above average route running ability and reliable hands.  Dwayne Bowe needs a proven down field threat next to him to open up the middle of the field.  Cue Steve Breaston.  It is unlikely Jonathan Baldwin breaks camp as the starting receiver opposite Bowe, but he could take on that role later in the season, which would relegate Breaston to his more natural slot receiver position.  Either way, Breaston is in the prime of his career and playing with a running game that terrifies opposing defenses for the first time in his career.  A much needed piece at a fantastic price is always a good thing.

Kelly Gregg, NT

O the nose tackle… the one position the Chiefs have been weak at since transitioning to the 3-4.  Kelly Gregg is about as good as it is going to get for a one year stop gap.  A veteran presence who has a proven track record and gloat worthy numbers.  While Gregg is 34 years old, age generally doesn’t catch up to nose tackles as quickly as it does other positions (good examples of that are Sam Adams, Pat Williams, and Casey Hampton).  Gregg is as smart as they come at the position and knows where to be at all times.  While he is definite up-grade over Ron Edwards, he won’t do much outside of stuffing the run and clogging gaps at this point in his career.

Brandon Siler, ILB

Very under-rated and could start for many teams in the league.  Although Todd Haley plans to use him at both inside linebacker positions, he is far more suited to play strong side middle linebacker.  Never really had a chance to shine playing behind Stephen Cooper in San Diego, but will have the opportunity to battle Jovan Belcher for a starting spot here in Kansas City.  If nothing else, he is an excellent special teams player and a fantastic goal line specialist.  With Belcher and Siler both in front of Corey Mays on the depth chart, he is left to prove his worth on special teams to keep his roster spot.

Note-Worthy Points:
  • Le’ron Mcclain rumors have been heating up.  If he does sign with the Chiefs, it will be interesting to see what happens to Thomas Jones.
  • Tyson Jackson looks to be in the best shape of his career coming into camp.  A possible breakout season on the way?
  • Brandon Carr and Tamba Hali are the only vital pieces left to re-sign and show up to camp.
  • Ryan Lilja was moved to from right guard to left guard following the release of Brian Waters.  Jon Asamoah will take over at right guard.